Simons KMLM switcher V3
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical switcher that reads short‑term “heat” (RSI) and uses KMLM (managed‑futures) as a stress barometer to rotate among cash/volatility hedges, aggressive tech/volatility bets, or bearish/treasury positions.
RSI = a 0–100 “heat” score of recent price moves (high=hot, low=cold). KMLM = a managed‑futures ETF that often leads in stressed, trending markets.
1) If the market looks very hot, move to cash (BIL) or a volatility hedge (VIXY), whichever looks calmer.
2) If fear is spiking (UVXY), hold mid‑term volatility (VIXM).
3) Otherwise: if tech/semis or the dollar look stronger than KMLM, buy 2 beaten‑down risk plays (SVIX, SOXL, TECL). If KMLM looks stronger, go defensive: pick 2 from SQQQ, TECS, TLT.
Out-of-sample annualized return ≈ 47.6% vs SPY ≈ 21.6%, with Calmar ≈ 1.19. Drawdowns are steeper (~40%), but the strategy targets regime shifts via volatility tilts and rotations, aiming for far stronger upside than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | 0.73 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.47% | 12.7% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.77 | |
| 229,223.54% | 625.44% | 2.27% | -22.02% | 3.06 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,932,353.50Regulatory Fees
$79,851.52
Total Slippage
$561,521.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, momentum, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks