Simons KMLM switcher V3
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive switcher that buys beaten-down tech when markets favor risk, but jumps to cash, volatility hedges, bearish tech funds, or Treasuries when conditions look overheated or defensive.
This strategy constantly asks: should I be aggressive, defensive, or hide in cash?
It uses RSI, a 0–100 “temperature gauge” of recent price moves. Very high RSI means an asset has run up fast; very low RSI means it has fallen fast.
If parts of the stock market look overheated, it moves to either T-bills (BIL) or a volatility fund (VIXY). If not, it looks for beaten-down tech/semiconductor opportunities. If tech strength is weaker than KMLM—a managed-futures fund often stronger in stressful markets—it switches to defensive bets like inverse tech funds or long Treasury bonds.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher upside than the S&P 500 (≈44% vs ≈19%), with volatility hedges and cash safety nets. Calmar ≈1.03 signals solid risk-adjusted growth despite larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | 0.9 | 0.04 | 0.2 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83.72% | 14.32% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.87 | |
| 303,203.45% | 483.87% | -27.56% | -35.86% | 2.68 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$30,330,344.90Regulatory Fees
$99,641.51
Total Slippage
$934,496.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, technology sector, semiconductors, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks