Simons KMLM switcher (single pops) (JD)
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that jumps among leveraged stock funds, volatility trades, bonds, cash, and bearish bets based on short-term “too hot/too cold” signals.
This strategy constantly asks: “Is the market overheated, panicky, or pulling back?” It uses a 10-day momentum gauge called RSI, which measures how unusually strong or weak recent price moves have been.
When many stock areas look overheated, it may buy beaten-down high-octane funds for a rebound, or switch to defensive holdings like bonds, a Nasdaq short fund, or volatility products. When conditions are extreme, it can make very aggressive moves.
Out-of-sample edge: ~93.8% annualized return, Sharpe ~1.19, Calmar ~2.86 vs S&P 6.38% return and Sharpe ~0.56. RSI-driven regime shifts target big moves in leverage/volatility—higher drawdowns (~33%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | 0.88 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83.72% | 14.32% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.87 | |
| 268,637.99% | 468.53% | -16.83% | -22.8% | 2.76 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,873,798.77Regulatory Fees
$60,780.54
Total Slippage
$563,904.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 14, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, rsi, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks