Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22 = A.R. 466% / D.D. 22%
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive all-in strategy that swings between leveraged tech/stock funds, volatility bets, and defensive diversifiers based on whether markets look overheated, fearful, or oversold.
This strategy puts all its money into just one holding at a time.
It first looks for signs the stock market is overheating using RSI, a speedometer for how stretched a price move has been. If several stock funds look too overheated, it jumps into UVXY, a very aggressive fund that tends to rise when market fear spikes.
If not, it checks whether fear itself is already elevated. If so, it chooses between a volatility fund and a 3x S&P 500 fund.
If fear is not elevated, it looks for beaten-down opportunities in leveraged tech, semiconductor, or S&P 500 funds.
If none of those signals appear, it compares technology to KMLM, a managed-futures fund that follows market trends across things like commodities, currencies, and interest rates. If tech looks stronger, it buys an aggressive big-tech fund; if not, it hides in the calmest of KMLM, a long/short stock fund, or a U.S. dollar fund.
Out-of-sample, this all-in strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted terms: higher Sharpe (1.73 vs 1.22), alpha 0.72%, Calmar 5.37, and 139.6% annualized returns via regime-switching—accepting larger drawdowns for substantial upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | 1.61 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.64% | 21.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 1.24 | |
| 303.66% | 135.77% | -1.82% | 25.86% | 1.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$40,366.21Regulatory Fees
$76.54
Total Slippage
$561.67
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, volatility trading, mean reversion, regime switching, managed futures, long/short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks