Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22 = A.R. 466% / D.D. 22%
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
Chases short, sharp volatility spikes when stocks look overheated, buys oversold dips with 3× tech/semis/S&P, and otherwise rotates between hot tech and calmer diversifiers (managed futures, long/short, long USD). High risk, big swings.
RSI is a 0–100 “heat” gauge of recent buying; >~80 = very hot, <~30 = washed‑out.
1) If broad/sector stock funds look very hot, buy UVXY (benefits when volatility jumps).
2) If no hot signal: after a spike, hold VIXM or flip to SPXL based on S&P’s tone.
3) Else buy dips: if tech/semis/S&P are washed‑out, buy TECL/SOXL/SPXL (3× bulls).
4) If no dips: if tech beats managed futures (KMLM), go FNGU; else sit in the calmest of KMLM/FTLS/UUP.
Very aggressive; expect big swings.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.80 vs SPY ~1.28; annualized return ~157% vs ~23%; Calmar ~6.0; alpha ~0.76. Higher drawdown (~26% vs ~14%), but superior risk-adjusted upside from volatility spikes and leveraged bets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | 1.68 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.99% | 23.43% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 1.28 | |
| 297.15% | 157.13% | 23.82% | 41.99% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$39,715.24Regulatory Fees
$62.68
Total Slippage
$472.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility spikes, mean reversion, leveraged equities, sector rotation, managed futures, long/short, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks