Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22 = A.R. 466% / D.D. 22%
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
All‑in, event‑driven swing system. Fades euphoria via UVXY, buys panic with 3x equity ETFs, and otherwise toggles between turbo tech (FNGU) and diversifiers (KMLM/FTLS/UUP). Uses RSI to time extremes. Very high risk and frequent switching.
RSI is a 0–100 “speedometer” for recent price moves: >80 = overheated, <30 = washed‑out.
If many stock/sector funds look overheated, go 100% to UVXY (spikes when markets fall). If UVXY itself just spiked, rotate to VIXM (calmer vol) or SPXL (3x S&P) by market tone. If nothing’s overheated, buy big dips in 3x tech/semis/S&P. If no dips, either go turbo tech (FNGU) when tech leads, or pick a calmer diversifier (KMLM/FTLS/UUP) with the lowest recent volatility.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.45 vs S&P 1.27; Calmar ~4.0; annualized return ~104% vs ~26%. Superior risk-adjusted growth and crisis resilience from volatility timing, with higher upside and modestly larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 1.62 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03% | 21.22% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.1 | |
| 111.14% | 112.41% | 2.98% | 0.86% | 1.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,114.21Regulatory Fees
$43.13
Total Slippage
$258.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, mean reversion, momentum, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks