Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22 = A.R. 466% / D.D. 22%
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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About
Chases short, sharp volatility spikes when stocks look overheated, buys oversold dips with 3× tech/semis/S&P, and otherwise rotates between hot tech and calmer diversifiers (managed futures, long/short, long USD). High risk, big swings.
RSI is a 0–100 “heat” gauge of recent buying; >~80 = very hot, <~30 = washed‑out.
1) If broad/sector stock funds look very hot, buy UVXY (benefits when volatility jumps).
2) If no hot signal: after a spike, hold VIXM or flip to SPXL based on S&P’s tone.
3) Else buy dips: if tech/semis/S&P are washed‑out, buy TECL/SOXL/SPXL (3× bulls).
4) If no dips: if tech beats managed futures (KMLM), go FNGU; else sit in the calmest of KMLM/FTLS/UUP.
Very aggressive; expect big swings.
Out-of-sample edge: ~174% annualized return vs ~25% S&P; higher Sharpe (~1.89 vs ~1.33) and Calmar (~6.68); alpha potential with volatility/tech/managed-futures diversification. Note drawdowns (~26% vs ~14%) are larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 1.67 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.71% | 24.78% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 1.33 | |
| 314.64% | 173.67% | 32.07% | 44.55% | 1.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$41,464.13Regulatory Fees
$60.55
Total Slippage
$456.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility spikes, mean reversion, leveraged equities, sector rotation, managed futures, long/short, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks