Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22 = A.R. 466% / D.D. 22% V2
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
A high‑octane, event‑driven switcher: fade overheated markets with UVXY (long volatility), buy the dip in leveraged equity ETFs when they’re washed out, otherwise rotate based on Tech vs KMLM strength into risk‑on (TECL/SOXL/SVIX) or defensive (SQQQ/TLT).
It watches a short‑term “heat meter” (RSI, 0–100). Above ~80 = very hot; below ~30 = very cold.
• If many stock/sector funds look very hot, it buys UVXY (a fund that jumps when markets drop).
• If leveraged stock funds look very cold, it buys them for a bounce (TECL, SOXL, SPXL, LABU).
• If nothing is extreme, it compares Tech vs KMLM (a managed‑futures fund). If Tech is stronger, it buys the 2 weakest of TECL/SOXL/SVIX; otherwise it picks SQQQ or TLT, whichever is stronger.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.83 vs SPX ~1.0; oos return ~225% vs ~17%; Calmar 7.16; max drawdown ~31% vs ~19%. Volatility-timing with leverage targeting higher risk-adjusted growth than the S&P—accepting bigger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 0.68 | 0.02 | 0.16 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.29% | 14.1% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.84 | |
| 418,477.43% | 707.69% | 44.41% | 44.26% | 3.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$41,857,742.52Regulatory Fees
$91,052.28
Total Slippage
$642,625.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 22, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, momentum, mean‑reversion, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, managed futures, risk‑on/risk‑off, event‑driven
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type