Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22 = A.R. 466% / D.D. 22% V2
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Event‑driven switcher: buys UVXY when markets look overheated (to catch volatility pops); buys select leveraged stock funds after sharp drops (for bounces); otherwise rotates between tech/short‑vol and defensive plays using a KMLM‑vs‑tech trend test. High risk.
RSI = 0–100 heat meter of recent (10‑day) moves.
1) If markets look very hot (~80), buy UVXY to catch a vol pop.
2) If very cold (~25–30), buy bounces: TECL/SOXL, SPXL, LABU.
3) Compare tech (XLK) vs KMLM. If tech wins: buy the 2 most beaten‑up of TECL/SOXL/SVIX. If KMLM wins: hold the stronger of SQQQ or TLT.
Usually 1 holding; sometimes 2; switches on signals.
TECL/SOXL/SPXL/LABU=3x stocks; UVXY/SVIX=vol; TLT=bonds; KMLM=managed‑fut.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P. Sharpe ~1.83 vs ~1.00; Calmar ~7; annualized return ~225% vs ~18%. Drawdowns larger (~31% vs ~19%), but disciplined, signal-driven rotation aims for outsized upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 0.71 | 0.03 | 0.16 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.88% | 13.44% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.81 | |
| 268,973.02% | 670% | -2.75% | -2.94% | 3.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,907,302.39Regulatory Fees
$79,054.57
Total Slippage
$557,101.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 22, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility pops, mean reversion, trend rotation, leveraged etfs, managed futures signal, risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks