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Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22 = A.R. 466% / D.D. 22% V2
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A two-layer, momentum-driven rotation: (1) trigger a volatility bet (UVXY) on extreme short-term momentum signals; (2) if not triggered, switch to a two-asset long/short rotation among leveraged tech/semiconductor and volatility proxies (TECL, SOXL, SVIX) using a 10-day momentum ranking, with equal-weighted positions. Backtests show strong historic numbers but come with high risk due to leverage and rapid signal-based switching.
NutHow it works
- RSI is a momentum gauge that shows how strong recent moves are. The scale runs 0–100. Values near the top (like 79) suggest very strong recent upside momentum. - If any of a list of proxies (eg QQQE, VTV, VOX, TECL, VOOG, etc.) has RSI(10) above 79, the strategy goes all-in on UVXY, a vehicle that tends to rise when volatility jumps. Think: if fear or big price swings are surging in the short term, the strategy bets on that spike by buying UVXY. - If none of those RSI checks trigger, the model switches to a second approach called the KMLM switcher. Here it looks at three gear-led ETFs (TECL, SOXL, SVIX) and ranks them by recent momentum over the last 10 trading days. It then picks two assets (the ones with the relevant momentum ranking) and builds a long/short pair between them with equal cash, aiming to ride the relative strength between the two while hedging with the opposite side. - In practice, this means you either get a volatility-driven exposure (UVXY) or a rotation among aggressive tech/semiconductor exposure and a volatility hedge, with positions taken in two assets at a time and weights kept equal. - The strategy uses no frequent rebalancing and relies on short-term momentum signals to decide whether to stay with UVXY or switch to the KMLM rotation. - It targets equity exposures but uses leveraged/ inverse ETFs to magnify moves; this increases both upside and downside risk. The notation and steps are a compact way to describe a multi-layer rule set that is explicitly designed to capture rapid, opinionated shifts in market mood over a short horizon.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.83 vs ~1.0 for the S&P, positive alpha, and Calmar ~7.16. A rule-based two-layer momentum switch: (1) go UVXY on volatility spikes, or (2) rotate among leveraged tech/volatility names. Higher risk-adjusted upside, with larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
2.240.690.020.16
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
59.47%12.7%-1.77%0.2%0.77
289,762.93%670.3%2.71%-8.46%3.05
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$28,986,292.97
Regulatory Fees
$82,941.80
Total Slippage
$584,765.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 22, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum rotation; leveraged etfs; volatility strategy; sector/tech rotation; long/short pairs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 229.46%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 31.43%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.