Simons KMLM | SPYU instead of Technology (fixed version)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, RSI-driven strategy that toggles between a volatility hedge (UVIX) and leveraged tech bets (SPYU, SOXL, FNGU) when tech momentum exceeds a KMLM baseline, or shifts to bear tech (TECS) when it does not; no routine rebalancing.
- Start with cash and decide which group to invest in based on two RSI tests.
- First test: is SPY's 10-day RSI above 83?
- If yes, buy UVIX (2x volatility exposure) and hold it.
- If not, move to the tech-momentum test: compare RSI(XLK, 10 days) with RSI(KMLM, 10 days).
- If RSI(XLK) > RSI(KMLM), invest equally in SPYU, SOXL, and FNGU (three levered tech bets).
- If RSI(XLK) <= RSI(KMLM), invest in TECS (bear tech).
- Weights are equal across assets in any given branch (100% divided equally among the chosen assets).
- No automatic rebalancing is planned; the corridor width describes a tolerance around target weights, but rebalance is set to none.
- The goal is to ride tech momentum with amplified exposures when tech is strong, and hedge with volatility when the market looks oversold/volatile, with a safety net to shift to bear tech if tech momentum deteriorates.
- SPYU is used as the technology exposure in place of a pure technology ETF, aligning the strategy with a highly leveraged tech bet rather than a plain technology index.
Rule-based RSI strategy that hedges with UVIX in stress and levered tech bets in momentum. OOS: ~23% annualized return vs SPY ~16%; higher upside with tech exposure, but larger drawdowns. Simple, non-rebalancing design.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | -1.5 | 0.12 | -0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.19% | 10.45% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.62 | |
| 47.83% | 44.22% | -1.08% | -7.37% | 0.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,783.14Regulatory Fees
$16.07
Total Slippage
$91.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged tech, volatility hedge, rsi-driven allocation, non-rebalancing, spyu substitution for tech, bear tech option
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SPYU
MAX S&P 500 4x Leveraged ETN
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
UVIX
2x Long VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks