Simons KMLM FULL BUILD
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A complex, rule-based system that uses short-term momentum (RSI) signals across a cluster of ETFs to opportunistically place in UVXY (volatility hedge) or, in a specific pathway, in KMLM (a managed-futures trend strategy), with nested conditions designed to pick a single best target in certain scenarios.
What this strategy does in plain language:
- It watches a bundle of popular and leveraged ETFs (for example, tech, semis, and sector proxies) and also volatility-related funds. It uses a short-term momentum gauge called the RSI (roughly: “is this asset's recent gains extreme enough to signal a spike in fear or a reversal?”) on a 10-day lookback. If the RSI reading is very high (above 79), the system treats it as a sign that volatility is likely to rise, so it tends to buy UVXY, a fund that typically goes up when volatility spikes.
- The decision tree is very deep: if one asset meets the condition, UVXY is chosen; if not, it keeps checking other assets and paths. The goal is to identify moments when the market looks overheated on a short-term basis and hedge or profit from a potential jump in volatility.
- In one particular path, the system takes a different route and aims to place 100% of the allocation into KMLM, a managed-futures ETF. Managed futures aim to ride trends in many markets by following systematic rules, so this path uses RSI comparisons among several assets to decide when KMLM should be the sole holding for that slot.
- The “rebalance” setting is essentially a constraint on how aggressively weights can move; here it indicates minimal rebalancing (rebalance: none) with a narrow corridor for adjustments (0.1). This keeps changes small unless a rule explicitly triggers a switch.
- In short: it’s a multi-layered momentum/volatility engine that may place you in UVXY for volatility hedging or in KMLM for diversified trend-following exposure, based on short-term RSI signals across a suite of ETFs.
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~74.8% vs SPY ~17.9%, Sharpe ~1.10, Calmar ~1.52. Uses volatility hedges and trend-following to capture big upside while maintaining disciplined risk. Superior risk-adjusted growth vs the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Rule-based, momentum, volatility, managed-futures, multi-asset, etf-strategy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks