Simons KMLM FULL BUILD
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that jumps between leveraged stock funds, volatility trades, and KMLM. It tries to buy sharp dips, bet on fear after overheating, and use KMLM as a defensive fallback.
This strategy is always 100% in one holding.
It first checks whether several parts of the stock market look too overheated using a short-term momentum gauge called RSI. If they do, it buys UVXY, a fund that tends to rise when market fear jumps.
If not, it looks for sharp short-term selloffs in aggressive funds tied to tech, semiconductors, the S&P 500, or biotech, and buys one of them for a rebound.
When those aggressive trades do not look attractive, it compares them to KMLM, a managed-futures fund often used as a defensive holding in messy markets. If KMLM looks stronger, the strategy falls back to KMLM or, in some cases, a fund that bets against tech.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.19 vs 1.06, Calmar ~1.87, and annualized return ~92% vs 17% for the S&P 500. A focused, single-position system aimed at big rebounds, with higher drawdown risk (~49%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.41 | 0.34 | 0 | 0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.23% | 14.67% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 1,423,458.87% | 735.91% | 3.07% | 22.49% | 3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$142,355,887.02Regulatory Fees
$378,269.47
Total Slippage
$3,616,726.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, managed futures, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks