Simons Jason's Overcompensating Safety Checks for TQQQs | Happier Wife Version (public)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk, daily-rebalanced rule-based system that targets 3x-levered ETFs (like TQQQ/SPXL) when momentum is favorable, with volatility hedges (UVXY/VIXY) and cash-like bets for risk control. It uses RSI, moving averages, and volatility metrics to pick the top 3 performers each day.
- Every trading day, the system evaluates a large set of momentum, trend, and volatility signals across a list of levered ETFs and related assets (eg, TQQQ, SPXL, TECL, UP RO, SOXL, UVXY, SQQQ, BIL, etc.).
- Each group tests a different combination of rules (e.g., price above moving average, RSI above thresholds, lower volatility, etc.). If a group’s criteria are met, it contributes a signal for that asset.
- The signals from groups are then used to rank or filter assets. A filter selects the top three names by a performance metric (often cumulative return over a short lookback, with a window like 9–10 days) and assigns weights (the data shows 100/100 in the examples, implying equal emphasis among the selected assets).
- The final portfolio is constructed from those three assets (often levered ETFs) and is rebalanced daily. Some blocks (e.g., Holy Grail Revamped) incorporate volatility hedges using VIX-related instruments (like VIXY, UVXY) and defensive/alternative assets to reduce risk in high-volatility conditions.
- The strategy uses a mix of indicators (RSI, moving-average comparisons, standard deviation, cumulative/ moving-average returns) to decide when to chase momentum and when to stand aside or hedge.
- The result is a high-risk, high-pocus momentum approach that seeks to ride positive trends in leveraged bets while employing volatility-based hedges and cash proxies to prevent outsized losses in unstable markets.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.55 vs 1.22; Calmar ~2.92; annualized OOS return ~104% vs SPY ~22%. A momentum-driven, 3x-ETF strategy with volatility hedges and cash-like bets to amplify upside while limiting drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 0.83 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310.6% | 14.46% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 185,547,132.15% | 297.43% | -8.33% | -8.32% | 2.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$18,554,723,215.17Regulatory Fees
$36,056,415.43
Total Slippage
$259,303,854.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum trading, trend following, risk management, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks