Simons Jason's Overcompensating Safety Checks for TQQQs | Happier Wife Version (public)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive, daily-traded strategy that mainly tries to own leveraged Nasdaq exposure when conditions look good, but can rapidly move to inverse funds, volatility hedges, bonds, or cash when risk signals rise.
This strategy is a fast-moving market timer built around TQQQ, a very aggressive fund that aims to amplify the daily moves of the Nasdaq-100 (big tech-heavy stocks).
Most of the time it asks: “Is the stock market trend healthy?” If yes, it often holds TQQQ. If the market looks overheated, falling, or unusually risky, it can switch to defensive positions like cash (BIL), Treasury bonds (TLT), funds that rise when the market falls (PSQ/SQQQ), or volatility funds (VIXY/UVXY).
It uses simple types of signals: recent trend, whether prices are above/below long-term averages, and whether recent moves look too hot or too weak. It runs several versions of these checks at once and leans into the ones that have worked best lately.
Out-of-sample edge: ~66% annualized return with Sharpe ~1.23 vs S&P ~1.20; Calmar ~1.84. Dynamic Nasdaq leverage in healthy trends, hedges/cash when risk spikes—stronger, more resilient upside than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | 0.85 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376.92% | 15.17% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 255,413,064.44% | 279.61% | -0.73% | 8.55% | 2.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,541,316,443.82Regulatory Fees
$50,083,334.37
Total Slippage
$483,138,538.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, tactical asset allocation, market timing, risk management, nasdaq, inverse etfs, volatility hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks