Simon | KMLM switcher | Simon Shorts Ed. + MbM | (single pops)| BT 4/13/22
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑driven “risk‑on/risk‑off” system that flips among leveraged stock ETFs, inverse/volatility hedges, and KMLM (managed futures). It hedges when markets look overheated, buys dips when oversold, and uses bond and inflation trends to choose offense or defense.
It uses simple signals to judge if assets are “hot” or “cold” (RSI ≈ a short‑term heat meter).
If many stock indexes look overheated, it buys crash insurance (UVXY/VXX = volatility).
If they look washed‑out and trends are healthy, it buys 3x stock funds (UPRO, TECL, SOXL, URTY).
If tech lags KMLM (a managed‑futures fund), it goes defensive: KMLM, low‑vol stocks, bonds, cash (BIL), or bear funds (TZA = short small‑caps, LABD = short biotech).
Bond and inflation trends guide offense vs defense.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted gains than the S&P: Sharpe ≈1.15 vs 1.00, annualized return ≈71% vs 19%, Calmar ≈2.02. Diversified trend/hedge/futures mix targets durable upside, with higher drawdown in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 0.08 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.43% | 14.2% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.84 | |
| 110,915.38% | 550.07% | -13.65% | -22.82% | 2.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$11,101,537.52Regulatory Fees
$43,292.86
Total Slippage
$300,005.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, rsi momentum, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, managed futures (kmlm), bonds/cash, tech/semis/small-cap/biotech, risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 176 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AGZ
iShares Agency Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BIV
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BKF
iShares MSCI BIC ETF
Stocks
BLV
Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BWX
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks