Sideways Market Mod Below the SPY 200d SMA | FINAL | DereckN
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
An aggressive market-timing strategy that mainly trades tech and semiconductor funds, buying sharp dips, reducing risk in weak markets, and sometimes betting against the Nasdaq when conditions worsen.
This strategy first asks: is the U.S. stock market weak or strong? It uses SPY (the S&P 500) as that signal.
In weak markets, it tries to buy sharp selloffs in tech and semiconductors, but if conditions keep worsening it can switch to safer areas, bonds, or even funds that rise when the Nasdaq falls.
In strong markets, it usually holds aggressive tech positions, unless the market looks too overheated, when it moves to crash-protection funds.
Out-of-sample, this tactical tech-dip strategy targets ~39.5% annualized return vs S&P ~14.5%, with Calmar ~0.66 and Sharpe ~0.81. Be prepared for drawdowns near ~60%. Best for high-risk investors chasing tech leadership.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 3.25 | 0.4 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.1% | 15.62% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.93 | |
| 71.03% | 36.96% | -43.89% | -34.89% | 0.79 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,103.40Regulatory Fees
$18.84
Total Slippage
$140.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, technology, semiconductors, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
FNGS
MicroSectors FANG+ ETNs due January 8, 2038
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks