Shorting SPY
Today’s Change (Mar 23, 2026)
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About
A daily switch that shorts the S&P 500 when it looks overheated or weak, parks in T‑bills when signals are mixed or bonds are stronger, and only buys tech (XLK) when big‑tech looks washed out (QQQ RSI is very low).
Daily holds one fund: SH (inverse S&P 500), SHV (T‑bills), or XLK (tech). RSI = a 0–100 “heat” score; low = washed out, high = overheated. EMA/SMA = fast vs slow average; fast below slow = weak.
Rules: If QQQ (big‑tech) RSI10<31, buy XLK. Else if SPY RSI10>85 or SPY 10‑day EMA<SMA, hold SH. If bonds (BND RSI20) beat SH RSI60, go to SHV. Otherwise SHV.
Why: SH shorts the market, SHV is safe parking, XLK rides rare tech rebounds.
Three-position, daily-rebalanced strategy: SH, SHV, or XLK when tech oversold. OOS drawdown ~8.46% vs SPY ~18.76%, Calmar ~0.98—better downside protection and solid risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.22% | 10.08% | -5.67% | -5.04% | 0.58 | |
| 1,282.66% | 14.96% | 3.48% | 6.9% | 1.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$138,266.18Regulatory Fees
$627.82
Total Slippage
$4,058.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 1, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, short s&p 500, inverse etf, rsi, trend following, mean reversion, bonds vs cash, sector tilt, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total