Short Volatility
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily-rebalanced, regime-based strategy that tilts between leveraged long bets and volatility/defensive hedges. It uses SPY vs 200-day MA to pick a bullish or bearish path, then selects a single top-ranked asset via a 10-day RSI screen to allocate most of the capital, with hedges and placeholders for extra strategies to manage risk.
- Each day, check if SPY is above or below its 200-day moving average to determine a market regime (bullish vs not).
- If bullish: pick one top-performing leveraged bet from a set (e.g., TQQQ, UPRO, TECL) based on a 10-day RSI ranking, and assign about 88% of the allocated capital to that chosen asset. The remaining capital is allocated according to secondary rules or kept as cash/overlays.
- If not bullish: switch to Bearish Protection assets (e.g., UVXY, SQQQ, SVXY, PSQ, SPXS, TL T, etc.) with the same RSI/ranking logic, again placing a large weight on the top pick to hedge or profit from volatility/declines.
- The strategy includes placeholders to insert additional bullish strategies or overlays, allowing adaptation to changing markets.
- Rebalance is daily, meaning the signals are recalculated and implemented every trading day.
- The toolkit uses a mix of well-known and less-popular ETFs to express long, short, and hedged exposures, with momentum signals (RSI) driving the selection within each regime.
- Be aware: leverage and volatility products can amplify gains and losses; the framework is designed to capture regime-based opportunities but carries significant downside risk during rapid shifts in volatility or trend reversals.
Out-of-sample edge: ~41.8% annualized return vs SPY ~22.3%, Calmar ~0.92, and volatility hedges. Daily regime-based tilt to leveraged growth in up markets and hedges in down markets aims for superior upside with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | 1.2 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601.81% | 14.58% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 61,304,466.4% | 153.71% | -3.01% | 0.74% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,130,456,639.79Regulatory Fees
$10,488,550.19
Total Slippage
$75,367,119.78
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 20, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged/inverse etfs, volatility hedging, momentum/rsi filtering, tactical asset allocation, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks