A cash-first, rule-based strategy that tilts into leveraged bear/bull ETFs on tech and semiconductors (with UVXY as a volatility signal) only when momentum signals align; otherwise it stays in cash and avoids regular rebalancing.

In plain terms: the system watches several market signals and, when a trigger is hit, moves all capital into one levered ETF corresponding to that view (e.g., a bear or bull Nasdaq/tech/semiconductor theme, or into UVXY for volatility). It uses RSI-like momentum checks and cumulative-return metrics over multiple short windows to decide if the trend is strong enough to back with a 3x levered ETF (TQQQ, SOXL, TECL) or its inverse (SQQQ, SOXS, TECS). If the signals aren’t clear, it keeps cash (no exposure). The rules are nested: a primary signal (e.g., UVXY/A broad market momentum) leads to one path; if that isn’t met, secondary signals (tech/semiconductor momentum, sector-specific momentum, or volatility conditions) may trigger other paths. The portfolio aims to exploit sharp moves and protect from drawdown by avoiding diversified allocations and instead concentrating on a single theme that meets strict criteria. Risk is high due to daily-leveraged behavior and reliance on short-term momentum.

Out-of-sample, this cash-first momentum strategy targets stronger risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P: ~92.6% annualized vs 17.7%, Sharpe ~1.24 vs 1.01, Calmar ~1.50. Expect higher drawdowns in volatility, but rules seek sharp moves.