[Sharpe'd] The Golden Ratio FTLT ratios | Mike G
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A complex, rule-based levered-ETF strategy that rotates among tech and broad-equity bets, gold, EMs, and real estate, with hedges and bonds as risk controls, using RSI and moving-average signals to guide daily weights.
A rule-based framework splits capital across several groups (Tech leverage, Emerging Markets, Gold, Real Estate, and a cash/defense sleeve). Each group has sub-rules using momentum indicators (RSI) and price trend checks (moving averages). If signals show a strong uptrend, the system tilts toward leveraged stock ETFs (like 3x longs). If signals look overheated or risky, it shifts toward hedges or safer assets (volatility hedges, long-duration Treasuries). Gold and EM blocks provide alternative momentum bets. The final allocation is a fixed mix of weights across groups, rebalanced regularly, and driven by the nested if-then rules rather than discretionary judgment.
Out-of-sample, this rule-based levered strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted growth vs the S&P: Sharpe ~1.80 vs 1.41, annualized return ~72.8% vs 29.3%, Calmar ~3.0. Diversified momentum with hedges; higher drawdown risk (~24%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 15,482,371.42% | 129.08% | -1.85% | 17.62% | 2.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,548,247,142.04Regulatory Fees
$2,039,349.77
Total Slippage
$14,595,052.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 22, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, leveraged etfs, systematic, tactical allocation, momentum/trend following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks