[Serenity] The Golden Ratio FTLT ratios | MikeG
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, daily strategy that splits across tech, emerging markets, bonds, gold, and real estate, using trend and overbought/oversold signals to rotate among leveraged bull funds, inverse funds, Treasuries, and a volatility hedge.
Your money is split into 5 sleeves: tech/Nasdaq (12.7%), emerging markets (20.2%), bonds vs stocks timing (23.8%), gold (40.8%), and real estate (2.5%).
It checks trend (price vs 200‑day average) and short‑term “heat” (RSI = 0–100; >70 hot, <30 cold). In uptrends it holds bull ETFs (e.g., TQQQ=3x Nasdaq, UPRO/IVV=S&P). When too hot it may hedge with UVXY (volatility) or flip to inverse funds (SQQQ, TMV, GLL, DRV). In downtrends it prefers Treasuries (TLT/TMF) or the inverse funds. Rules run daily.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~2.27 vs SPY ~1.41, OOS annualized return ~90.9% vs 29.3%, Calmar 4.35, beta ~0.69. A diversified, rules-based rotation across tech/EM/gold/bonds/REITs using trend and RSI signals aims for higher risk-adjusted growth than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.16 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 1,971,251.58% | 98.57% | -0.42% | 26.89% | 2.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$197,135,158.05Regulatory Fees
$225,725.13
Total Slippage
$1,575,303.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 22, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend/mean‑reversion, tech/gold/em/reits, treasuries, inverse & volatility hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks