[Serenity] The Golden Ratio FTLT ratios | MikeG
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical strategy that leans heavily on gold and long bonds, and flips long/short across tech, EM, and REITs using trend (200‑day MA) and RSI extremes. Uses leveraged ETFs and UVXY for spikes. Very high risk and turnover.
It’s a daily, rules-based rotator across 5 sleeves: Gold (~41%), Long Treasuries/Tech (~24%), Emerging Markets (~20%), Nasdaq/S&P (~13%), REITs (~3%). Signals: trend (price vs a moving-average “trend line,” often 200‑day) and RSI (a 0–100 short‑term “hot/cold” score: >80 overheated, <30 washed out). It flips among bull/inverse leveraged ETFs: UGL/GLL (gold), TMF/TMV/TLT (Treasuries), TQQQ/SQQQ, UPRO/SPXL/IVV (S&P), EDC/EDZ (EM), DRN/DRV (REITs), and may hedge spikes with UVXY.
Out-of-sample tested: this strategy delivers stronger risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P (oos Sharpe 2.27 vs 1.41; Calmar 4.35) and ~90.9% annualized vs ~29.3%, with beta ~0.69 and a diversified gold/bonds/EM/tech rotation.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 2,019,563.55% | 99.24% | 5.14% | 32.88% | 2.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$201,966,355.22Regulatory Fees
$218,906.43
Total Slippage
$1,526,745.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 22, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset tactical rotation, trend + rsi, leveraged etfs, gold focus, bonds/tech/em/reits, daily rebalance, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks