Semiconductor Vol Fractal RSI Trading - With Semiconductor Momo Rules Added
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Tactical chip‑sector strategy that adapts to volatility. It buys a 2x semiconductor fund when SOXX is washed out, hedges/shorts when too hot, and otherwise toggles between growth and a defensive hedge basket using momentum and risk‑on/off checks. Daily rebalance.
Rebalanced daily. It watches SOXX and first measures volatility. In choppy markets it uses stricter overbought/oversold lines; in calm markets, looser ones. RSI (0–100 gauge of recent moves) drives trades: very low RSI → buy USD (2x long semis); very high RSI → hedge/short (SSG; in calm times use TLT). If no clear signal, it uses momentum and a risk‑on test (Industrials vs Utilities) to switch between growth (QQQ, XLV, XLE, KIE) or a defensive basket (UUP, GLD, inverse ETFs). Key ETFs: SOXX=semis; USD=2x long; SSG=−2x; QQQ=big tech; UUP=$; GLD=gold; TLT=long Treas.
Out-of-sample: stronger downside control (drawdown ~18.24% vs SPY ~18.76%), solid Calmar (~0.77), and volatility-aware hedges. Returns may lag SPY, but risk is more measured in choppy markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.56 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619.27% | 14.62% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 11,503.29% | 38.94% | 0.44% | 8.52% | 1.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,160,329.28Regulatory Fees
$5,949.52
Total Slippage
$32,863.55
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, tactical momentum, mean-reversion, volatility targeting, leveraged/inverse etfs, risk-on/off, multi-asset hedging, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 33 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
EFU
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI EAFE
Stocks
EUO
ProShares UltraShort Euro
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IGV
iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
Stocks
IYT
iShares U.S. Transportation ETF
Stocks
JNK
State Street SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
KIE
State Street SPDR S&P Insurance ETF
Stocks