Semiconductor Ballers (Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A fast, daily system that chases semiconductor/tech uptrends with 3x ETFs and swiftly switches to hedges (inverse tech/semis or UVXY) or bond plays (TMF/TMV) when trend, RSI, or volatility warn. Highly concentrated and high risk.
Daily, it rides uptrends in semiconductors (SOXL) and tech, and quickly flips to safety or inverse funds when risk jumps. It checks: trend (short vs long moving averages), “heat” (RSI: <30 = sold off, >70 = hot), and volatility (UVXY spikes). A bond gauge (TLT) shows if rates are rising or falling; in stress it uses TMF (long bonds) or TMV (short bonds). It buys 1 fund with the strongest recent gains. Uses 3x ETFs—very volatile. Key ETFs: SOXL/SOXS, TECL/TQQQ, UPRO/SPXL, TMF/TMV, UVXY, SPY, TLT.
Capitalizes on semiconductor/tech uptrends with disciplined hedges. Out-of-sample annualized return ~132.6% vs SPY ~28.3%, Calmar ~2.79 - strong risk-adjusted upside. Note: max drawdown ~47% in stress; suited for higher risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 0.92 | 0.05 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.2% | 14.76% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 262,206,774,939.13% | 353.68% | 0.94% | 50.58% | 2.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,220,677,503,913.37Regulatory Fees
$9,029,306,745.74
Total Slippage
$10,261,401,798.30
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 16, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following, momentum, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, semiconductors, market timing, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks