Semiconductor Ballers (Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, levered multi-asset strategy targeting semis/tech upside (SOXL/TECL/TQQQ/SPXL) with hedges into bonds and volatility ETFs to manage risk; uses RSI and moving-average signals to pick a top asset from a large pool and rotate into defense when risk rises.
Every day, the strategy evaluates signals across a large hierarchy of groups. If momentum and trend signals on semiconductor and technology names look favorable (for example, certain RSI levels or moving-average conditions on SOXL/TECL/TQQQ/SPXL), it tends to place full exposure on one of these levered ETFs. If signals indicate risk-off or overbought conditions, it rotates into defensive holdings (Treasuries via TMF/TLT, SHY, or bond-like positions) and sometimes hedges volatility exposure with UVXY or bear ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ). The system uses filters to pick the single strongest or most favorable asset from a set (often the top/bottom ranked by moving-average return or cumulative return) and then weights the position heavily (often 100% in that picked asset) for that day’s rebound. There are additional sub-strategies that blend multiple signals (RSI windows, moving-average crossovers, and relative strength against broad benchmarks like SPY). The design aims to capture big moves in semis/tech when conditions align, while stepping to safety assets when risk indicators rise. In short: it’s a fast-moving, levered, multi-asset tactical system that chases semis/tech up with leverage but rotates into Treasuries and hedges when risk grows.
Out-of-sample edge: ~133% annualized return with Calmar ~2.79, higher risk-adjusted gains than SPY. Levered semis/tech with tactical hedges seeks bigger upside and rotates to Treasuries to help curb downturns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 16, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical asset allocation, semiconductors, tech, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks