Semiconductor Ballers (Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Daily, high‑octane rotation that rides semiconductor uptrends (SOXL), flips short (SOXS) or into other 3x tech or Treasury funds when signals turn. Uses trend, RSI, and market‑regime checks. Very high risk and turnover.
Each day it tries to ride semiconductor uptrends with a 3x fund (SOXL). If momentum cools or flips, it can move to the 3x bearish fund (SOXS), rotate to strong 3x tech funds (TQQQ, TECL), or shift to Treasuries (TMF/TMV) or cash‑like bonds (SHY). It uses trend (price vs moving averages), “hot/cold” readings (RSI: 0–100; low=washed out, high=overheated), and market‑regime checks from the S&P 500, bonds, and commodities. Rebalances daily; may briefly use UVXY as a shock hedge.
Out-of-sample: ~132.6% annualized return, Sharpe ~1.31, Calmar ~2.79; max drawdown ~47%. A semiconductor-led, rules-based rotation with hedges targets outsized tech upside while regime filters cap losses. Higher risk, higher reward.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | 0.92 | 0.05 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648.54% | 14.93% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.91 | |
| 151,825,199,541.89% | 331.28% | -19.47% | -35.07% | 2.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,182,519,964,188.51Regulatory Fees
$9,480,268,307.77
Total Slippage
$10,713,545,678.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 16, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, trend-following, tactical rotation, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks