(see bottom block) TECL For The Long Term (v7) | Less VIX | KMLM signal boost
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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About
Aggressively ride tech uptrends with TECL, step aside to T‑Bills when overheated, buy sharp dips, and use a managed‑futures trend gauge (KMLM) plus volatility cues (UVXY) to decide when to defend vs attack. Daily rebalanced.
Step 1: Is the S&P 500 (SPY) in an uptrend (above its 200‑day average)?
- Yes: Prefer TECL (3× tech) unless the market looks “too hot” (high short‑term RSI). If too hot, sit mostly in T‑Bills (BIL) with a small UVXY slice. A cross‑asset trend gauge (KMLM) helps decide TECL vs T‑Bills and when to buy a tech dip.
- No: First, buy dips if tech/market are very oversold. If not, stay in T‑Bills; in volatility spikes hold mostly T‑Bills (sometimes 15% UVXY). Rarely, it may hold SQQQ (inverse Nasdaq) over bonds.
Out-of-sample edge vs SPY: higher risk-adjusted return (oos Sharpe ~1.58 vs 1.11), stronger alpha (~0.52) and upside, aided by tactical cash/bonds and a volatility guard. Drawdowns can be larger, up to ~36%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 1.49 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.56% | 15.5% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.94 | |
| 123,985.19% | 255.6% | 21.31% | 7% | 2.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,408,518.70Regulatory Fees
$12,610.65
Total Slippage
$114,372.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend filter (200‑day), leveraged tech, volatility overlay, risk-on/risk-off, t‑bills cash, managed‑futures signal
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks