Secular Trinity Momentum - Stocks, Bonds, Comds
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Uses SSO=2x S&P; UST=2x 7–10y Treas; SHV/SHY=T‑bills; IEF/TLT=long Treas; GLD=gold; DBC=commodities; XLK=tech; QQQ=Nasdaq‑100; PSQ=short QQQ; XLP=staples. Backtest 2008–23: ~19%/yr, max drop ~17% (not guaranteed).
Dials steer a mix of stocks, bonds, and commodities. Long term: if SPY’s 200‑day avg > 1000‑day, secular bull; else bear. Medium: 50>200 (“golden cross”) adds risk; 50<200 cuts risk. Near term: if SPY is above its 200‑day and not “hot” (RSI = 0–100 heat gauge), hold more SSO & UST. If hot/weak, add SHV and a commodity sleeve that buys DBC when rising, else tilts to GLD/SHY (more to calmer assets). In deep bears use PSQ or XLP; tech dips (QQQ oversold) can trigger XLK.
Out-of-sample edge: Calmar 1.72, max drawdown 12% vs SPY’s ~19%, beta ~0.78. Annualized return ~20.7% with diversified stocks, bonds, gold/commodities. Offers smoother growth and meaningful downside protection vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.7 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 731.58% | 14.07% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.85 | |
| 1,128.56% | 16.87% | 0.65% | -0.55% | 1.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$122,855.93Regulatory Fees
$268.90
Total Slippage
$1,621.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 12%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical asset allocation, trend-following, momentum, risk-managed, equities, bonds, commodities, defensive tilt, inverse/leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks