Sector Mean-Reversion Strategy
Today’s Change (Jul 13, 2026)
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About
Weekly, it buys the 3 weakest major U.S. sectors by 1‑year return, but replaces any sector up >10% with T‑bills (SHV). Equal‑weighted across three positions; a contrarian tilt with a built‑in safety option.
Each week it looks at 7 big U.S. stock sectors: XLK=Tech, XLV=Health Care, XLY=Consumer Disc., XLP=Consumer Staples, XLE=Energy, XLI=Industrials, XLF=Financials (broad, liquid market coverage).
For each, check 1‑year return. If a sector is up >10%, swap it for SHV (a T‑bill fund). Then buy equal amounts of the 3 with the worst 1‑year results. Idea: buy what’s out of favor; if nothing looks cheap, sit in T‑bills. Rebalance weekly.
A rules-based sector-mean-reversion strategy with a weekly laggard pick and SHV cash hedge. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~7.86 vs S&P ~6.67, lower drawdowns, and Calmar ~87—strong risk-adjusted upside versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.01 | 0.88 | 0.68 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656.31% | 11.58% | 4.34% | 11.4% | 0.65 | |
| 352.9% | 8.53% | 3.68% | 6.53% | 0.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$45,289.74Regulatory Fees
$69.48
Total Slippage
$422.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 28, 2026
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Us sectors, mean reversion, sector rotation, defensive, weekly rebalance, t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLF
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLI
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLY
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks