Sandy's Vol Trigger based HFEA
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Rules-based “volatility trigger” strategy: use 3× stock and bond ETFs when markets are calm; otherwise hold unlevered stock ETFs plus the two strongest of bonds, gold, commodities, dollar, or T‑bills. Equal-weighted throughout.
Assets: SPY=S&P 500, QQQ=Nasdaq‑100, TLT=long US Treasuries, GLD=gold, DBC=commodities, UUP=US dollar, SHV=T‑bills. Leveraged: TQQQ≈3×QQQ, UPRO≈3×SPY, TMF≈3×TLT.
If SPY’s recent swings are low (calm):
- If TLT also calm: split equally into TQQQ, UPRO, TMF (turbo risk‑on).
- Else: hold QQQ, SPY, plus the top 2 (last ~4 months) from {SPY, TLT, GLD, DBC, UUP, SHV}.
If SPY isn’t calm: hold SPY plus those top 2. Equal‑weighted.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~31.4% vs SPY ~22.3%, with Calmar ~1.20, signaling solid risk-adjusted upside. A regime-switching approach leverages in calm markets and shifts to defensives in volatility—aiming for higher growth than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility trigger, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, momentum rotation, multi-asset, us equities, treasuries, gold, commodities, dollar, cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks