Sandy's Vol Trigger based HFEA
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A volatility-triggered, HFEA-style plan: use 3x funds (TQQQ/UPRO/TMF) when both stocks and bonds are calm; otherwise drop leverage and hold SPY/QQQ plus the 2 strongest over ~6 months among bonds (TLT), gold (GLD), commodities (DBC), dollar (UUP), or cash (SHV).
It checks how “bumpy” returns have been lately (past 21 trading days). If stocks (SPY) are calm (<1.25%) and bonds (TLT) are calm (<0.85%), split money 1/3 each into 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ), 3x S&P 500 (UPRO), and 3x long Treasuries (TMF).
If stocks are calm but bonds aren’t, hold QQQ, SPY, plus the 2 best 6‑month performers from SPY/TLT/GLD/DBC/UUP/SHV, equally.
If stocks are jumpy, hold SPY plus those top 2, equally.
Out-of-sample edge: 28.4% annualized return vs 22.5% SPY, smaller drawdown (15.1% vs 18.8%), and Calmar ~1.88 vs ~1.20. Higher upside with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 0.88 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744.59% | 14.24% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 3,929.45% | 25.94% | 2.87% | -3.07% | 1.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$402,945.26Regulatory Fees
$873.09
Total Slippage
$5,083.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility-regime, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, momentum rotation, multi-asset, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks