Sandy's Modified Risk On/Risk Off Hedgefundie
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A gentler, rules-based HFEA. It adds crash protection, checks if bonds and rates favor risk-taking, and only turns on leveraged UPRO/TMF when rates fall and stocks are stable. Otherwise it shifts to safer bonds, gold, the US dollar, or inverse hedges.
It runs four similar sleeves that watch for panic and interest‑rate trends.
1) If fear spikes, it hides in short‑term Treasuries (SHY).
2) If not, it asks: are bonds beating T‑bills? If yes, it takes more stock/bond risk when day‑to‑day swings are calm, and dials down when they aren’t.
3) If bonds aren’t beating T‑bills, it splits: rising rates → stronger US dollar and some hedges; falling rates → a refined HFEA (UPRO/TMF) only if stocks aren’t sliding.
An adaptive, rules-based strategy with crash protection and rate-driven hedges. Out-of-sample: about 20.36% annualized vs SPY ~22.83%; designed for disciplined risk control and diversified ballast in stressed, regime-shifting markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.68 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365.47% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 12,866.64% | 49.1% | -1.93% | -5.36% | 1.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,296,663.99Regulatory Fees
$4,220.93
Total Slippage
$26,296.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-on/risk-off,tactical allocation,leveraged etfs,volatility targeting,rate regime,crash protection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks