Sandy's Modified Risk On/Risk Off Hedgefundie
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, lower-risk HFEA. It splits into 4 slices, uses fear spikes to hide in short Treasuries, runs leveraged stocks+long bonds only when bonds beat cash and markets are calm, and shifts to USD/hedges when rates rise. Avoids K‑1 ETFs.
Your money is split into 4 slices that watch for panic. If fear spikes, that slice parks in short‑term Treasuries (SHY). If not, it checks: are bonds beating cash? If yes and markets are calm, it uses “turbo” funds in big US stocks/tech and long Treasuries; if choppy, it downgrades to plain funds. If bonds aren’t beating cash and long bonds are falling (rising rates), it goes defensive with US dollar and sometimes a bearish fund on tech or long bonds. If rates are falling, it runs a refined HFEA mix (about 55% 3x S&P, 45% 3x long Treasuries) when conditions are calm, or a safer blend of medium Treasuries, gold, inflation‑linked, and short bonds when not. It avoids K‑1 ETFs.
Out-of-sample returns ~22.4% vs SPY 22.8%, but with crash alarms, regime hedges, and four-slice diversification that shifts to cash/USD/defensive assets in volatile markets—offers similar upside with built-in protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369.91% | 13.7% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.83 | |
| 13,394.56% | 50.21% | -0.91% | 0.74% | 1.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,349,455.53Regulatory Fees
$3,966.54
Total Slippage
$24,724.07
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, trend-following, volatility and rate filters, crash protection, macro rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks