Sandy's Modified AAW (logic changeup) v2 + v4 Pops + Pure BS Catcher
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Adaptive “All Weather” portfolio that shifts among tech‑heavy stocks, bonds (long or short), gold/commodities, cash, and volatility hedges. Uses fear, trend, and “too hot/too cold” signals to lean in during calm uptrends and step aside or hedge in turmoil—aiming to beat the S&P 500 over time.
It’s an “All Weather” portfolio that adapts. It watches three things: market fear (the VIX), whether prices trend up or down (long‑term averages), and when moves get too hot or too cold (short‑term swings).
- Calm, uptrend: lean into growth with leveraged tech funds (TECL/TQQQ/SOXL).
- Shaky or falling: park in T‑bills/short‑term Treasuries (BIL/BSV/SHV/SHY) or hedge with UVXY; sometimes briefly short stocks or long the U.S. dollar (UUP/USDU).
- Bonds: switch among long Treasuries (TMF), inverse Treasuries (TMV), or cash based on rate trends.
- Commodities: rotate into gold/commodities (GLD/DBC) or the dollar when inflation or rates drive returns.
Adaptive All-Weather rotates growth, bonds, gold, cash, and hedges. OOS Sharpe ~1.12, Calmar ~1.32, ~20.6% annualized return with a 15.6% max drawdown—lower downside and strong risk-adjusted edge vs the S&P 500 (~22.4% return, 18.8% drawdown).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 18, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Adaptive multi-asset, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, trend/momentum, bonds/commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks