Safety First WM74
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Risk-on: levered 3x ETFs in uptrends; risk-off: hedges (UVXY/SOXS) and bonds/cash in downturns; signals use SPY vs 200-day MA, RSI momentum, and volatility cues to switch, with no fixed regular rebalance.
What this strategy does in plain terms:
- It watches the market’s vibe using a few simple signals: price trend (is the market broadly rising or falling?), momentum (are the popular 3x ETFs gaining steam or getting stretched?), and volatility (is fear rising, signaling a storm?).
- It splits your money into two broad jobs: one is to chase big gains with leveraged bets when the picture looks good; the other is to stay safe with hedges and bonds when the picture looks risky.
- If the market looks healthy and momentum is strong, you’ll be more invested in 3x ETFs like TQQQ, TECL, and SOXL to amplify upside. If the market sputters, you’ll shift toward hedges (UVXY or an alternative like SOXS) and safety assets (BSV, BIL, or cash) to protect what you’ve earned.
- The system uses a lot of layered conditions (short-term momentum vs long-term trend, RSI thresholds, price vs moving average, and occasional bond/stock strength comparisons) to decide which assets to own and when to switch gear. There is no fixed quarterly rebalance; changes occur when signals say to adjust.
- There are alternate branches that swap hedges (UVXY replaced by SOXS) to test different defensive setups, reflecting the creator’s focus on hedging effectiveness in different regimes.
- In short: leverage on the upside when the market is behaving, hedges and safe bonds on the downside, with signals guiding when to switch among these tools.
Leverage on uptrends with nimble hedging to grab big upside and guard profits. Out-of-sample: ~31.68% annualized return vs SPY ~19.35%; Calmar ~0.88 signals strong risk-adjusted gains, even with higher max drawdown (~36%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | 1.06 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 1,631,474.33% | 96.34% | -4.02% | -1.4% | 2.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$163,157,433.38Regulatory Fees
$304,757.13
Total Slippage
$2,161,704.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk management, leveraged etfs, hedging, tactical asset allocation, volatility management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks