Safety First WM74
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Plays offense in clear, calm uptrends with 3x tech/semis funds; flips fast to T‑bills/short bonds or brief hedges (UVXY/SOXS/SQQQ) when trends weaken, get overheated, or volatility spikes. Uses simple trend, RSI, drawdown, and bond‑vs‑stock checks.
It splits money across a few rule sets. Each one:
1) Checks trend and “heat” (price vs 50/200‑day averages; RSI=0–100 heat gauge; big recent drops; volatility).
2) If trends are healthy and calm, it buys 3x tech/semis funds (TQQQ, SOXL, TECL; sometimes UPRO/SPXL, plus SVXY).
3) If things look shaky or overheated, it parks in T‑bills/short bonds (BIL/BSV) or briefly hedges with UVXY/SOXS/SQQQ.
4) Bond‑vs‑stock strength helps decide risk‑on vs cash.
Out-of-sample edge: ~32% annualized return vs ~19% for the S&P, powered by 3x tech/semis bets with smart hedging. Higher upside in uptrends, tempered by disciplined risk controls and opportunistic cash hedges—larger swings, bigger potential rewards.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | 1.06 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648.54% | 14.93% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.91 | |
| 1,820,516.77% | 97.03% | 11.59% | 4.46% | 2.05 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$182,061,676.74Regulatory Fees
$317,955.56
Total Slippage
$2,256,215.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, bonds vs stocks, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks