Safety First Sort WM74
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A “safety‑first” tech‑led, daily‑rebalanced strategy: ride 3x Nasdaq/tech when the trend is up and not overheated; if overheated, whipsawing, or trending down, quickly rotate to cash, Treasuries, volatility hedges, or inverse ETFs to limit drawdowns.
Daily, it checks: 1) Long-term trend (is the S&P 500 above its 200‑day average?). 2) Short-term heat (RSI: above ~80 = overheated, below ~30 = washed out). 3) Short-term trend (20–25‑day average). 4) Recent spikes/slumps. If healthy and not overheated, it rides 3x tech (mainly TQQQ). If overheated, it hides in cash/Treasuries/volatility hedges. If trend breaks or fear spikes, it flips to inverse ETFs or Treasuries. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample, this daily, risk-managed strategy targets tech upside with up to 3x leverage, delivering ~52% annualized return vs SPY’s ~24%, and Calmar ~1.55. Hedging aims to limit drawdowns, though downturns can be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | 1.03 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611.45% | 14.75% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 2,187,042.48% | 101.55% | 1.25% | -9.42% | 1.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$218,714,247.76Regulatory Fees
$858,405.89
Total Slippage
$6,142,916.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, tactical rotation, risk-managed, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 30 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks