Safety First Sort WM74
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based, safety-first tactical strategy that blends leveraged equity bets with hedges. It uses multiple signals (RSI, moving averages, cumulative returns) and bond/stock regime checks to tilt between risk-on levered bets and protective hedges, replacing UVXY with safer proxies when needed. It targets diversification across tech/semis and other sectors while prioritizing capital preservation.
- What you own changes daily based on many quick checks (signals) rather than a single rule.
- The rules look at: is the market in a trend? are volatility levels high? have stocks or bonds performed better recently? are certain ETFs overbought or oversold?
- When signals look favorable, the strategy buys or concentrates on levered equity bets (for example, TQQQ or TECL) to pursue bigger gains.
- When signals show risk (high volatility, downtrend, or weak bonds relative to stocks), it shifts toward hedges and safer assets (replacing UVXY with VIXY, plus BIL and BTAL or other protectors).
- There is a dedicated logic to avoid owning UVXY directly in many cases, substituting hedges that historically behave more predictably under stress.
- The strategy uses a bond versus stock regime test (e.g., 20-day bonds vs. 60-day stock signals) to decide whether to tilt toward bonds or stocks.
- It combines several modules (e.g., “The Classics”, “Holy Grail”, “Bearish Protection”) that each contribute checks and candidate holdings, then selects a single path to implement, usually with full allocation to the chosen options.
- The approach intentionally blends growth-oriented bets with safety rails to protect capital while still aiming for upside over time.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~52% annualized return vs ~24% for the S&P, with a Calmar ~1.55 indicating strong risk-adjusted upside. It dynamically blends leveraged bets with hedges to chase gains while protecting capital in volatility.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equities, volatility hedges, risk management, multi-signal, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 30 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks