Safer QQQ + Overbought BT20110104
Today’s Change (Mar 30, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based approach to hold ~1x Nasdaq with a Treasury cushion: 1/3 in TQQQ (3x fund ≈ 1x QQQ) and 2/3 in Treasuries when conditions are healthy; shifts to T‑bills/defensive mix when weak; briefly flips to VIXY if the Nasdaq looks overheated.
Daily rules: If the Nasdaq (via TQQQ, a 3x QQQ fund) looks very overheated, move all to VIXY (tends to jump when fear/volatility rises). Otherwise split: ~1/3 tries to own TQQQ when stocks look healthier and bonds (BND) beat T‑bills (BIL); else it parks in T‑bills or a defensive BTAL+SVXY mix. The other ~2/3 owns long Treasuries (TLT) only when they’re in an uptrend and bonds beat T‑bills; otherwise sits in T‑bills. Goal: ~1x QQQ plus a Treasury cushion, with a fast “overbought” brake.
Disciplined SPY diversifier: Nasdaq tilt with a Treasury cushion and a VIXY brake, underpinned by out-of-sample risk controls (oos Sharpe 0.241957, oos Calmar 0.129302) to curb tail risk in volatility, not just chase beta.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.36 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 558.58% | 14.02% | -7.68% | -7.76% | 0.87 | |
| 8,479.14% | 36.32% | -2.46% | -4.18% | 1.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$857,914.07Regulatory Fees
$2,578.29
Total Slippage
$15,801.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,nasdaq 100,treasuries,leveraged etf,volatility hedge,trend/momentum,risk management,daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks