Safe Sectors Small FR 0x V0.4 (48,26,1999)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Buys QQQ or SPY only after sharp drops; when markets are overheated, it parks in one defensive asset (utilities, staples, or a bond fund), always picking the one that’s been hit most recently. Single holding, checked daily.
Each day the strategy checks a 10‑day “hot/cold” score (RSI).
1) If big‑tech stocks (QQQ) are very cold (<31), buy QQQ.
2) Else if the broad market (SPY) is very cold, buy SPY.
3) Else if either is very hot (>79), switch to the most beaten‑down “safe” pick: utilities (XLU), consumer staples (XLP), or bond funds (CEFs: BKT, NAN, MMU, PMM, EVN, VBF).
4) Otherwise hold the most beaten‑down bond fund.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers exceptional risk-adjusted gains: Sharpe ~7.83 vs SPY ~1.40, annualized return ~69.9% vs ~14.9%, and drawdown ~0.56% vs ~2.53% for SPY. A disciplined, single-position, mean-reversion with a built-in defensive rotate.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720.24% | 8.19% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.5 | |
| 3,178,051.84% | 47.4% | -1.15% | 5.34% | 2.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$317,815,183.99Regulatory Fees
$2,600,815.10
Total Slippage
$18,568,050.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 27, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, mean reversion, rsi, defensive sectors, bond cefs, single-position, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BKT
BlackRock Income Trust Inc.
Stocks
EVN
Eaton Vance Municipal Income Trust
Stocks
MMU
Western Asset Managed Municipals Fund, Inc
Stocks
NAN
Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund
Stocks
PMM
Putnam Managed Municipal Income
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks