Safe Sectors Small FR 0x V0.4 (48,26,1999)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A defensive, contrarian strategy: buy QQQ or SPY after sharp short-term selloffs, but otherwise hide in bonds or defensive sectors—usually choosing the most recently beaten-down option.
This strategy checks whether the stock market looks unusually beaten down or unusually overheated over the last 10 trading days.
If tech stocks look sharply sold off, it buys QQQ. If the broader U.S. market looks sharply sold off, it buys SPY.
If the market looks overheated, it moves into a defensive list of utilities, consumer staples, and bond funds, then buys the one that has fallen the most recently. Otherwise, it stays in bond funds and buys the bond fund that has fallen the most recently.
Out-of-sample, this contrarian defensive strategy beats the S&P 500: ~28.4% annualized vs 15.9%, Sharpe ~1.94 vs 1.21, and smaller drawdown (~8.68% vs ~8.89%). Higher risk-adjusted returns with downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852.79% | 8.6% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.53 | |
| 3,673,924.67% | 46.93% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.25 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$367,402,467.18Regulatory Fees
$2,531,111.06
Total Slippage
$23,642,189.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 27, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Defensive, mean reversion, tactical asset allocation, sector rotation, bonds, contrarian, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BKT
BlackRock Income Trust Inc.
Stocks
EVN
Eaton Vance Municipal Income Trust
Stocks
MMU
Western Asset Managed Municipals Fund, Inc
Stocks
NAN
Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund
Stocks
PMM
Franklin Managed Municipal Income Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks