Safe Dips/Rips l 10 Jan 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A contrarian swing strategy: fade short‑term “rips” with VIX or cash, and buy deep “dips” with leveraged tech/S&P or short‑vol. When no extremes, sit in T‑bills/bonds. Focused on US large‑cap tech/growth; high risk.
It watches big, tech‑heavy indexes (like QQQ, XLK, VOOG) and the S&P 500 (SPY) using a 10‑day RSI, a 0–100 “too hot/too cold” gauge.
• If they’re a bit too hot, it hedges with a VIX fund (VIXM). If they’re extremely hot, it sits in cash.
• If they’re very cold, it buys the dip using leveraged tech/S&P funds (TECL/SPXL) or short‑vol (SVXY).
• Otherwise it parks in T‑bills/bonds (BIL/BSV). High risk, short‑term moves.
Out-of-sample, this contrarian, volatility-driven strategy targets tech exposure, delivering ~34% return vs SPY’s ~22.6%, with Calmar ~1.43 and Sharpe ~1.11. Higher drawdowns exist; VIX/cash hedging aims for stronger long-run risk-adjusted performance.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, contrarian, rsi-based, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, us large cap, tech tilt, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks