Skip to Content
Symphonies
S7 Inflation/Deflation Based Risk Strategy
Today’s Change
—

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Rules-based strategy that flips between inflation and deflation using metals vs Treasuries. It tilts to commodities/cyclicals in inflation and to Treasuries/defensives in deflation, adding tactical hedges when markets look too hot or too cold. Rebalances daily.
NutHow it works
1) Decide the backdrop: compare a metals fund (DBB) to long US Treasuries (TLT). If metals lead → inflation; if Treasuries lead → deflation. 2) Check risk tone using simple leaders: cyclical vs defensive stocks, real estate vs commodities, and SPY vs a low‑vol version (SPLV). 3) Buy what fits: in inflation, more commodities and cyclical tech/industrials; in deflation, more Treasuries, utilities, and some gold. When prices look too hot or too cold (a speedometer‑like signal), it adds hedges. Rebalances daily.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this regime-switching strategy returns 31.6%/yr vs SPY 24.7%, with lower max drawdown (8.38% vs 14.59%), better Calmar (~3.77) and Sharpe (~1.25), and a beta near 0.79, offering higher upside with less market risk.

Loading backtest data...

Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, etfs, inflation/deflation, sectors & commodities & bonds, rsi timing, volatility hedges, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 73 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIZD
VanEck BDC Income ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BZQ
ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toXME, EEV, DBA, XLE, SRS, BIS, TMVandUNL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 32.29%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 8.38%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.