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S7 Inflation/Deflation Based Risk Strategy
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily, rules-based strategy that labels markets as inflationary or deflationary (metals vs Treasuries), then rotates among sectors/commodities and adds hedges when prices look stretched. Uses some leveraged/inverse funds; trading is frequent.
NutHow it works
1) Decide the backdrop: Are industrial metals (DBB) beating long US Treasury bonds (TLT)? If yes = inflationary; if no = deflationary. 2) Judge market mood by comparing real estate vs commodities and materials vs utilities, plus quick “overbought/oversold” checks (has price run up or down too fast?). 3) In inflationary, tilt to energy, metals, agriculture and some growth; in deflationary, tilt to long Treasuries, utilities, gold, and housing. When mood turns cautious, add hedges (inverse or 2–3x funds, volatility). Rebalances daily.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample: ~31.6% annualized return vs SPY 24.7%; Calmar ~3.77; max drawdown ~8.38% vs 14.59%; Sharpe ~1.25 vs 1.22; beta ~0.79. Regime-switching, hedged, multi-asset strategy offering higher growth with notably lower drawdowns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.60.160.020.14
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
420.01%13.81%1.75%5.97%0.85
216,672.32%82.73%0.69%2.73%3.23
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,677,232.29
Regulatory Fees
$139,637.24
Total Slippage
$965,612.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, tactical allocation, inflation/deflation, multi-asset, daily rebalancing, overbought/oversold signals, hedged, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 73 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIZD
VanEck BDC Income ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BZQ
ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toIAI, CWB, SMH, QQQ, SVXY, KBWD, PSI, XBIandKCE. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 31.58%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 8.38%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.