S2 UVXY RSI Tactical Rotation
Today’s Change (Oct 6, 2026)
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About
Daily, two-sleeve strategy that times fear using UVXY. Most days it holds T-bills (BIL). In moderate selloffs it owns UVXY; at extremes or when SPY is deeply oversold it shifts into aggressive rebound plays (SOXL/TECL/UPRO/TMF).
RSI is a 0-100 heat gauge of recent price moves (low = washed-out, high = surging). Two equal sleeves, checked daily.
Sleeve 1: If SPY’s 10-day RSI < 30, buy the most beaten-down of SOXL, TECL, UPRO, TMF (all 3x: tech/semis/S&P or long Treasuries). Else use UVXY (volatility fund): 74–84 buy UVXY; >84 buy SOXL; otherwise BIL (T-bills).
Sleeve 2: Own UVXY only when UVXY is hot (21-day >65 and 10-day 74–84); otherwise BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: Calmar ~470 and Sharpe ~5.8 vs SPY ~1.15 with larger drawdowns. Mostly in cash, it goes risk-on during fear spikes, delivering superior risk-adjusted protection and rebound potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | -0.32 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711.51% | 15.1% | 1.41% | 3.39% | 0.93 | |
| 5,293.36% | 30.72% | 0.27% | 0.91% | 0.96 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$539,336.18Regulatory Fees
$345.79
Total Slippage
$2,690.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 22, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, volatility timing, rsi-driven, leveraged etfs, daily rebalance, defensive cash, equities and bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks