S2 UVXY RSI Tactical Rotation
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
Daily, two‑sleeve strategy that uses a ‘fear’ gauge (UVXY) to switch between cash (BIL), volatility (UVXY), or leveraged risk (SOXL), and buys the most beaten‑down asset when SPY looks washed out. The two sleeves are equal‑weighted.
RSI = 0–100 ‘heat’ of recent price moves (low=washed out, high=hot).
Legend: UVXY=stock‑market fear; BIL=T‑bills; SOXL=semis 3×; TECL=tech 3×; UPRO=S&P 3×; TMF=long Treasuries 3×.
Daily: If SPY’s RSI<30 → buy the most beaten‑down of {SOXL,TECL,UPRO,TMF}. Else use UVXY’s RSI: 74–84 → UVXY; >84 → SOXL; <74 → BIL. Second sleeve: UVXY 21‑day>65 and 10‑day 74–84 → UVXY; else BIL. Split 50/50.
Out-of-sample, this strategy offers superior risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P 500: Sharpe ≈ 5.8, alpha ≈ 5%, and a near-1% max drawdown. Two sleeves plus volatility timing aim for steadier compounding even in volatile markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | -0.33 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616.44% | 14.8% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.91 | |
| 5,703.15% | 32.93% | 0.32% | 1.42% | 1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$580,314.68Regulatory Fees
$350.92
Total Slippage
$2,166.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 22, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, rsi, daily, risk-on/risk-off, semiconductors, tech, s&p 500, treasuries, cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks