RSI TECL < AGG
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A simple RSI-based two-asset toggle: if TECL’s 21-day RSI < AGG’s 21-day RSI, invest 100% in TECL (levered tech); otherwise, move to BIL (cash-like short-term Treasuries). No regular rebalancing; small churn buffer. High-risk due to leverage, with a cash-like fallback. Uses TECL, AGG, and BIL (not a spread over KMLM or other ETFs).
Here’s how it works in plain language:
- The strategy watches two things every signal period: TECL (tech sector, levered 3x) and AGG (broad bond market).
- For each asset, it looks back over the last 21 trading days to calculate a momentum score called RSI (roughly, how strong the price has been lately).
- If TECL’s 21-day RSI is lower than AGG’s 21-day RSI, the strategy places all your capital into TECL (you’re fully invested in the leveraged tech ETF).
- If TECL’s 21-day RSI is not lower than AGG’s RSI, the strategy moves all your capital into BIL (a cash-like short-term Treasury ETF).
- There is no ongoing rebalancing unless a signal flips; there’s a small 5% corridor to avoid excessive switching.
- The position is effectively a binary choice: either a leveraged tech position or a cash-like position, not a diversified mix.
What this means for you:
- You’re betting on a rebound in TECL only when its momentum is weaker than bonds (per RSI comparison).
- If bonds show relatively stronger momentum, you park in cash via BIL.
- TECL can magnify gains and losses because it’s levered; BIL aims to preserve capital with low risk but low return.
- The strategy is compact and not a broad diversification approach; it’s a tactical, momentum-based switch between two very different risk profiles.
RSI-driven, two-asset switch between levered tech (TECL) and cash (BIL) aims for big upside with built-in risk control. Out-of-sample annualized return ~63%, solid risk metrics vs. S&P 500, and cash fallback for stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 2.16 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,035.39% | 15.24% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 92,334.47% | 48.99% | 0.69% | -0.98% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,243,446.67Regulatory Fees
$19,318.46
Total Slippage
$128,199.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 24, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, relative strength, leveraged etf, tactical allocation, cash proxy