RSI 2 Commodities
Today’s Change (Jul 22, 2026)
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About
A tactical commodities strategy: mostly hold PDBC when the trend is up, step into T‑Bills when it gets too “hot,” and rotate into a low‑volatility blend of stocks, bonds, and gold when the trend is down. Rebalanced daily.
Main holding is PDBC, a broad commodities ETF (energy, metals, agriculture). First, a trend check: if PDBC is above its 50‑day average (typical price over ~10 weeks), we hold it—unless a 2‑day RSI (0–100 “heat” gauge) is >95, then we park in BIL (T‑Bills). If PDBC is below its 50‑day average, we only buy it when RSI<2.5 (washed‑out). Otherwise we hold a low‑vol mix of SPY (US stocks), IEF/TLT (Treasuries), and GLD (gold). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.16 vs 1.02, max drawdown 12.38% vs 18.76%, beta near 0, annualized return 17.41% vs 17.28% for the S&P, Calmar 1.41. A disciplined, regime-driven strategy that trims risk while preserving upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 346.1% | 13.92% | 0.52% | 6.55% | 0.83 | |
| 184.02% | 9.53% | -1.32% | -1.9% | 0.76 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$28,402.21Regulatory Fees
$240.20
Total Slippage
$1,441.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities, trend-following, mean reversion, tactical allocation, etf rotation, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks