RSI 2 Commodities
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
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About
A tactical commodities strategy: mostly hold PDBC when the trend is up, step into T‑Bills when it gets too “hot,” and rotate into a low‑volatility blend of stocks, bonds, and gold when the trend is down. Rebalanced daily.
Main holding is PDBC, a broad commodities ETF (energy, metals, agriculture). First, a trend check: if PDBC is above its 50‑day average (typical price over ~10 weeks), we hold it—unless a 2‑day RSI (0–100 “heat” gauge) is >95, then we park in BIL (T‑Bills). If PDBC is below its 50‑day average, we only buy it when RSI<2.5 (washed‑out). Otherwise we hold a low‑vol mix of SPY (US stocks), IEF/TLT (Treasuries), and GLD (gold). Rebalanced daily.
An adaptive, trend-following strategy with better risk-adjusted performance than the S&P: oos ~18.4% annual return, Sharpe ~1.19, beta ~0.07, max drawdown ~18%. Elevates diversification via commodities with disciplined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.2 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355.2% | 13.91% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.83 | |
| 196.52% | 9.79% | 7.69% | 2.21% | 0.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,651.59Regulatory Fees
$260.41
Total Slippage
$1,519.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities, trend-following, mean reversion, tactical allocation, etf rotation, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks