RoRoGoGo: Risk On Risk Off 1.4a (K-1 Free)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Switches between growth and defense. In good times it rides big tech with TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100). When overheated/jumpy it hedges or flips (SQQQ; SOXL/SOXS). If bonds/rates flag risk‑off it shifts to Treasuries (TMF/TLT), T‑bills (BIL), US dollar, defensives, or commodities.
1) Checks if bonds have been rising; if yes, treats markets as friendlier.
2) If volatility spikes, a fast sleeve rides or fades Nasdaq/semis (TQQQ/SOXL/SOXS or T‑bills+SQQQ) using RSI (0–100 hot/cold), price vs moving average, and drawdowns.
3) If calm, blends low‑vol funds with a small tactical sleeve.
4) If bonds are weak, goes Risk‑Off into Treasuries, US dollar, defensives, or commodities.
Dynamic risk-on/risk-off strategy with regime switching: lower out-of-sample drawdown (13.6% vs 18.8%), low beta (~0.11), and solid Calmar (~0.72) and Sharpe (~0.69). Diversify from SPY with reduced downside and upside potential.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 26, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, momentum, mean reversion, volatility filter, trend following, leveraged/inverse etfs, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 51 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ANGL
VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
EWJ
iShares MSCI Japan ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks