Robust Asset Allocation - Balanced Approximation
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Equal-weight sleeves in stocks (US and international), real estate, commodities, and Treasuries. Each month, every sleeve checks a 1‑year trend and 1‑year return vs T‑bills to choose ETF, 50/50 with cash, or cash only.
Each month the portfolio splits money equally into 7 sleeves: MTUM (US stocks with recent winners), IWD (US value), EFA (developed ex‑US stocks), EFV (ex‑US value), VNQ (US real estate), DBC (commodities), IEF (US Treasury bonds). Cash uses BIL (T‑bills). For each sleeve: if price is above its 1‑yr average AND its 1‑yr return beats BIL → hold the ETF; if only one is true → hold 50% ETF/50% BIL; if none → hold BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ~1.71 vs SPY ~1.41) with lower drawdowns (9.7% vs 13.7%) and strong Calmar. Diversified sleeves + trend/risk controls offer steadier, more durable growth than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.37 | 0.66 | 0.81 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317.65% | 13.35% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.8 | |
| 83.12% | 5.45% | 1.72% | 5.42% | 0.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$18,312.03Regulatory Fees
$6.73
Total Slippage
$33.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset,tactical allocation,trend-following,absolute momentum,risk-managed,monthly rebalance,equal-weight
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EFV
iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWD
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
Stocks
MTUM
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
Stocks
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
Stocks